Supply chains have stabilized while market headwinds from high interest rates and high prices are muting sales.
The overall used-vehicle inventory volume is still considered limited and has been stuck in the 2.2 million to 2.3 million range for the past four months.
Since the labor actions started Sept. 15, the U.S. has ample inventory for now from the Detroit automakers that should keep steady supply through the end of the month. The all-important Ford F-150 had 97 days of supply at the start of October.
Sales in Q3 are expected to surpass 3.9 million, a jump of more than 15% from the same timeframe one year ago.
Analysis: The actions of the UAW will reverberate through the larger auto business, but nowhere near what was experienced in April 2020. Sales into fleet could suffer in 4Q if a strike is wide and persists. Rental car companies may return to the used car market like they did in 2021 and 2022, driving prices higher.
All major market vehicle segments saw seasonally adjusted prices that were lower year over year in the first half of June.
Days' supply increased due to a slight weakening in sales toward month-end. Despite a decline in the average listing price, it remained above $47,000.
Mid-Month Update: The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index was down 7% compared to the full month of May 2022.
Post-pandemic pent-up demand is moving into the automotive market. Strong sales growth into fleets strengthened April numbers.
For the second month in a row, average transaction prices undercut manufacturer's suggested retail prices, reversing a prior 20-month trend.
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