The fourth quarter should bring stable pricing among buyers and sellers, which should reflect only modest changes between now and the end of the year.
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With sales slightly stronger than expected, tight supply, and prices at about 6% below last year, these factors are expected to prevent any substantial decline in wholesale prices through year-end.
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The conversion rate indicates that the first 15 days of August saw buyers with more bargaining power for this time of year.
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All major market vehicle segments saw price declines year over year and all were down compared to the previous months, except for one.
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Wholesale supply has increased with weaker purchase activity in early July, yet it is otherwise normal for this time of year.
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All major market vehicle segments saw seasonally adjusted prices that were lower year over year in the first half of June.
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The average price likely will stay relatively high since few new vehicles have been sold in recent years, and little leasing was done.
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Conditions have shifted to favoring buyers, but with tight supply, the market is not far from being balanced between buyers and sellers.
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Mid-Month Update: The Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index was down 7% compared to the full month of May 2022.
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The average price likely will stay relatively high since few new vehicles were sold in recent years and little leasing was done.
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