
Used Vehicle Prices Climb Higher As Sales Pace Slows
The higher prices at used retail reflect strong wholesale values earlier in the spring, particularly for older, more affordable vehicles.
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The higher prices at used retail reflect strong wholesale values earlier in the spring, particularly for older, more affordable vehicles.
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With record numbers of lease-holders choosing to keep instead of return their leased vehicles, the pool of available CPO-eligible inventory is lower than usual.
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Combined sales into large rental, commercial, and government buyers were down 36% year over year in January. Sales into rental declined 61% YOY, sales into commercial increased 4% YOY, and sales into government declined 23%.
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Available vehicle inventory inched higher, edging closer to normal. Key stats: 2.38 million unsold vehicles, 51 days' supply, 69,737 average mileage.
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Despite squeezed supply, the used-vehicle market has been playing a key role in the recovery of the automotive industry.
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Demand is strong and expected to break records in 2022 because CPO fits an important sweet spot in the vehicle market.
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Analysis: A big drop of 20% to 30%, as one report suggests, is highly unlikely. History tells us a decline of more than 10% is rare indeed.
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Combined sales into large rental, commercial, and government buyers were down 32% year over year in December and down 4% full-year 2021 versus 2020.
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Manheim Forecast: Tax refunds and a supply-constrained market will likely lead to another round of price increases in the first half of 2022
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During the first 15 days of December, the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index hit 239.8, a 49% increase from December 2020.
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Available inventory edged slightly higher but remain below normal.
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