Days’ supply by end of November was 77% higher than at the same time a year ago and the highest since March 2021. While inventory is up from recent levels, it remains low by historical standards.
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All eight major market segments again saw seasonally adjusted prices that were lower year over year last month, with compact cars showing the smallest decline.
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Declines in Manheim Market Report prices, days' supply, and average daily sales conversion rates are following typical patterns for November.
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Days’ supply in October was 26% above year-ago levels. Used-vehicle inventory has been holding at about this level since mid-January.
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Days’ supply climbed to 49, the highest since May 2021. The question now is: Will demand keep up with supply?
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All eight major market segments saw seasonally adjusted prices that were lower year over year in the first half of October.
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Higher interest rates are likely hurting used-vehicle demand because consumers can’t afford the higher monthly payments.
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Despite elevated vehicle prices, soaring interest rates and high inflation, there are no signs that demand is falling off yet.
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Wholesale prices had been moving downward for most of the year and decreased 4% in August from July, widening the divergence with retail prices.
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But don't get too excited. Days supply is still far below historical levels and production has yet to catch up to demand.
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