Vehicle Remarketing Logo

Used Car Market Bracing for Off-Lease Tidal Wave

A record number of newer model year off-lease vehicles returning to dealer lots this year will be putting significant upward pressure on the late-model used market, according to the February 2017 Edmunds Used Vehicle Market Report.

by Staff
February 16, 2017
Used Car Market Bracing for Off-Lease Tidal Wave

Courtesy of Edmunds.

2 min to read


Courtesy of Edmunds.

A record number of newer model year off-lease vehicles returning to dealer lots this year will be putting significant upward pressure on the late-model used market, according to the February 2017 Edmunds Used Vehicle Market Report.

Along with the expected influx of newer model year off-lease vehicles, less people are expected to trade-in a car during a new car purchase, further adding to the upward pressure on the late-model used market, the firm added.

Ad Loading...

In 2016, approximately 45% of car buyers traded in a vehicle during their new car purchase. In 2017, that number is expected to drop to 43%, which could result in the number of trade-ins in 2017 falling below 6 million, which hasn't occurred since 2012.

"While low interest rates and consistent values are making it possible for the market to absorb these newer, more expensive off-lease vehicles, demand for older, less expensive used vehicles hasn't waned," said Ivan Drury, an Edmunds senior analyst. "Fewer older vehicles available puts sellers at an advantage, particularly those looking to sell vehicles that are in high demand like trucks and SUVs."

In 2016, approximately 38.5 million used vehicles were sold, an increase of 0.6% from 2015. Franchise used sales amounted to approximately 11.6 million, an increase of 1.5% despite fewer trade-ins on new vehicle sales, according to the firm. And, of those franchised used vehicle sales, 58% were used vehicles that were three years old or newer, the firm added.

Additionally, due to a rise in leasing, the average age of a used vehicle sold by a franchise dealer in 2016 came in at a record-low 4.1 years old. The average vehicle transaction price for the used segment also saw a record in 2016, a record-high of $19,189.

To find this data, Edmunds analysts looked at lease rates from 2014 to get a rough estimate of how many vehicles should be expected to return to dealers in 2017. Lease volume was 10.6% higher in 2014 compared to 2013. And, since lease volumes also saw year-over-year growth in 2015 and 2016, newer-model lease returns are expected to rise for the next couple of years. And, as a result, used vehicle ages are expected to continue to get younger — and conversely, the availability of late-model used cars is expected to continue to decline — for the foreseeable future, according to Edmunds data.  

Originally posted on Automotive Fleet

More Operations

Collage of CAR speakers
Used Vehicle Valuesby Chris BrownApril 27, 2026

CAR2026 in Two Words: Velocity, Value (Part 1)

The 2026 Conference of Automotive Remarketing convened with a mandate to involve a new constituency — fleet managers — and an updated mission to demonstrate unrealized value in de-fleeted vehicles.

Read More →
Graphic promoting CAR 2026 roundtables featuring headshots of five speakers and topics including Wall Street trends, fleet data, upfits, fair market value, and AI in remarketing.
Operationsby Chris BrownMarch 31, 2026

CAR 2026: Get the Wall Street Update on the Key Players in Remarketing

From a Wall Street analyst's take on remarketing's key players to whether fleets need their own version of Carfax, CAR 2026's afternoon roundtables will answer key operational and industry questions.

Read More →
Promotional graphic for CAR 2026 panel on data-driven value in commercial vehicles, featuring five industry experts and session details for April 16 in Cleveland.
Fleetby Chris BrownMarch 31, 2026

CAR 2026 Session to Uncover the Missing Data That's Costing Fleets at Disposal

Work trucks lose value at remarketing, not because they aren't worth more, but because the data to prove it rarely makes it to the auction.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
A rental car rolling through a UVeye overhead vehicle inspection terminal.
Operationsby News/Media ReleaseMarch 13, 2026

TSD Mobility, UVeye Partner On Automated Vehicle Inspections

The enhanced technology allows rental car operations, dealerships, and auctions to compare a vehicle’s condition at pickup and drop-off within the same rental or loaner record.

Read More →
Graphic promoting a CAR 2026 conference session showing four speaker headshots above the title “What Really Moves Vehicle Value Now — And What Doesn’t” with automotive conference branding
Operationsby Chris BrownMarch 11, 2026

CAR 2026: What Really Moves Vehicle Value Now — And What Doesn’t

A panel at the 2026 Conference of Automotive Remarketing will examine how resale value is created across the vehicle lifecycle and which traditional remarketing practices still deliver ROI.

Read More →
A collage of two photos of day cab trucks above a checklist for maximizing resale values.
Used Vehicle ValuesMarch 1, 2026

How To Maximize TCO and Resale Value in Day Cab Fleets

Smart operational and spec'ing decisions can dramatically improve both the total cost of ownership during use and the resale value when it's time to remarket day cabs.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Image of rows of cars and a shopping cart.
Used Vehicle Valuesby Chris BrownMarch 1, 2026

How to Drive Better Returns on De-Fleeted Vehicles in 2026

Smart remarketing begins before vehicles enter the fleet, and is built on strong data and stronger FMC partnerships.

Read More →
Summary table of January auction sales report.
Used Vehicle Valuesby News/Media ReleaseFebruary 9, 2026

Auction Sales Kick Off 2026 In High Step

Winter snowstorms and frosty freeze-overs could not slow down the hot vehicle auction action nationwide in January.

Read More →
Arun Rajagopalan's, CEO and co-founder of Motorq, headshot is placed above text about the 2026 CAR conference.
Operationsby Chris BrownFebruary 6, 2026

CAR 2026: Rethinking Vehicle Valuation Through Health Data

How can vehicle-sourced performance data change the way fleets assess condition, time de-fleets, and set remarketing expectations? A seminar at the 2026 Conference of Automotive Remarketing (CAR) has answers.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
A star B2X logo sits on a white and blue background with arrows pointing to the right.
Operationsby StaffJanuary 29, 2026

Bobit Business Media Inc. (BBM) Launches B2X Rewards

B2X Awards is one of Bobit's newest initiatives dedicated to increasing engagement across the company's sites.

Read More →